Summary
The Republican Party is poised to hold a historically narrow House majority, with current projections showing 220 GOP seats to Democrats’ 215.
This would be the smallest majority since the Hoover administration.
Resignations by three Republican representatives, including Matt Gaetz, could further shrink the margin to 217–215, allowing a single defector to block legislation.
The tight results undermine Republican claims of a 2024 electoral landslide, as Donald Trump’s popular-vote margin over Kamala Harris has narrowed significantly since election night.
I worry a lot more about Dems appeasing the GOP at this moment. Unlike Trumps first election, there is now basically no resistance, and there’s already infighting among Democrats. Someone who unites the party must stand up now, or I don’t see any improvement in the midterms.
If you’re expecting resistance, don’t look at the Democratic Party. Resistance will come from the grassroots or not at all.